- WTF wrong with me?
- Market rallied almost 3% today on Fed's 50 bps cut.
- The Fed had said in its previous three statements that inflation was the main concerns. Now they started to unleash the gate of stagflation.
- We should have a short term rally, very likely to all time high.
- We will have a recession and inflation: inflation is already here, if you eat and drive; recession maybe here already, if you try to sell a house.
- The Fed rescued risky investors today, nothing more and nothing less, with market only 4% from all time high before the announcement, after today, it's only 2% from all time high.
- You never see a crisis this close to the top.
- Gold and precious metals, commodities are places to be. The bubble goes on, maybe last into 2008. But after that, we'll have a long bear market.
- Fed's decision is to make the bubble bigger.
- If you're not taking the riskiest asset in the market, you're not trying.
- I am so stupid to trust the Fed will honor the value of dollar, now I think dollar will be worthless in 10 years.
- From now on, I will not play options, I will drastically reduce shorts.
- I lost my right to play these risky positions.
- I have to beg for forgiveness for my gambling spirit and the mistakes and pains I have caused.
- If nothing else, I will be a better person in life, I will learn from these mistakes and walk away from gambling.
I will play three patterns in the future:
- Extremely oversold conditions and extremely overbought conditions.
- New highs.
- Long term fundamental plays.
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