- Market is flat after last week's big gain.
- Gold and PM stocks are higher, I did add FRG again. PM stocks should be in good shape to consolidate before next leg up.
- RIMM is on fire again, up 4 to 136.81. I used this to add June ITM put and March ITM put. Even though these two positions are ahead since I added when RIMM was traded at 138, my previous RIMM Jan.2008 put and March 2007 put are all under the water.
- This is really tough, RIMM is really difficult to play. Since it broke 85 to close at 103 on early Oct. 2006, many people played the short and got burned. I waited and waited, still got some losing positions. I'll add put again when it hits 145.
- Since RIMM didn't break 145 in three early attempts, this time 140-145 is another critical point, it should serve as a place to play put aggressively. I'll do so. If it passes it, then the momentum will carry it for a while. It's critical to have at least a few months in the option and give it room to run its course.
- Tomorrow will watch RIMM, consider to add put when it is above 142. This is my focus for the next few days. I believe this is the few times in the year that you can make a major bet and make money.
- My main bet is when RIMM is above 142 but below 146, I'll add June or Sept. ITM puts. Even it's not working out short term, I think it will be profitable when all are settled.
- This is really risky of course, RIMM may have some "good news" to announce, but I think sell on the news is the game here.
Monday, February 5, 2007
RIMM is on fire
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