Thursday, July 12, 2007

Clear mind

Today the market breaks out, with Dow leading the way, Nasdaq breaks out too. S&P 500 breaks out. Only Russell 2000 is within hair distance of break out. There is no use to argue the tape and the fundamentals. I sold all my positions except URZ and some puts and QID in my rollover IRA.
  1. I'm out to have a clear mind, to be objective again.
  2. I was bearish since last November, it costs me lot of money.
  3. The only thing good about losing big in option trades is, today I didn't feel much pain to sell these ultra short ETFs: MZZ, QID, SDS and TWM.
  4. I will honor my rules of cutting loss in the future.
  5. I will not rush to get back to the market. I need time to clear my mind too.
  6. Today, no question, the market breaks out. Now a small pull back will be bought again by bulls and shorts alike. Unless we have some very negative news to bring down the market.
  7. Dow 14000 is only 140 points away, and Dow was up 280 today. You have to think S&P500 will break 1600 soon.
  8. I will look for a better setup for shorts, if the market continues to push up another 2-5% without pullback.
  9. Meanwhile, if the market pull back 1% or less, may add some longs.
  10. This is a lesson I will never forget.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

I am in the similar situation as you. The time and effort and the money lost just not worth it. I am thinking about going to let other people (mutual fund) take care of my money. A MBA and a MS in Finance from top school does not help in terms of trading. I declare defeat from this market mania. I will, however, continue to watch the market.

Anonymous said...

Hi Simpletrade:

I am the person posted above. Recently I have been thinking why a person like me that would not even go to casino to gamble would gamble off so much money in the stock market? Did I think I have MBA and Finance book knowledge? Or did I think the odds are better here? Why did I lose my mind? Why did I think I can do better than people on the street? Why all the knowledge I have learned in school about asset allocation and diversify and buy and hold strategy just was not in my mind? Just because I think I understand economics and valuation better than average? Good that I still have my job and I will work hard in order to get my loss back. I have been watching your blog for a while and hope you can pull out of a stressful situation as well.