This is the panic sell off I was looking for. After two more than 1% drop the previous days, we had, during the low of the day, Dow, Nasdaq and S&P down 2.7%, 3% and 2.6%, lot of strong stocks were trashed as bad as good stocks, and yet financial stocks like GS, BSC all recovered strongly mid-day. This is a clear sign of short term bottom.
- S&P managed to closed in green today, thanks to beaten down financials. Dow down a fraction. Let's see if we can have a follow through tomorrow and next week.
- Tomorrow is option expiration day, and we had 4 previous Friday's sold off late afternoon. So if tomorrow we reverse the trend, then it's a short term bottom.
- On the other hand, if we sell off again after 3PM, then I'm really not sure where this market is heading.
- From TA perspective, today is a classic V shape panic bottom. And we headed lower yet again after 3PM, only to be bought again.
- Short term, I expect S&P to bounce, the target is around 1440-1460. I don't expect it to go above 1460. But let's see if we can get there before we're talking about a bounce.
- If we sell off again tomorrow, all bets are off.
- Normally, we should have at least a strong opening tomorrow. Maybe can hold into the close.
- I added long positions today. SSO, URZ, SSRI, DIA calls and QQQQ calls.
- SSO and calls are playing for the short term bounce.
- URZ and SSRI are also for short term bounce, but if there is none, these two are great long term stocks to hold. I will not be surprised to see them double or triple in the next 12-18 months.
- Because Fed added liquidity to the system, it will add inflation pressure, and good for gold and commodity in the long run.
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