Oversold market sold off again today. Now it's really an ugly market. It's very difficult to trade.
- On one hand, all indicators say we're due for a vicious bounce. Shorts will cover on the next big bounce.
- On the other hand, we have this credit crunch issue, another shoe will drop at any minute.
- A black Monday kind of event can't be rule out.
- I sold my DIA puts early for a small profit. I thought I was lucky to see it dropped way below my price when market bounced early, in the end, if I hold on to it, I could make a huge profit!
- Now I won't chase the short/put, I need to see a bounce before I jump in.
- I won't chase long/call either, I need to see another panic sell off before I join.
- Last few days, sell in the afternoon is a sure bet. But this can change at any minute!
- Yes, I will miss lot of chances, but now it's a very tough time to make money. Cash is a great position to have if you're not sure.
- If people are worried about the credit issues, we probably will sell off into Friday's close.
- But since many people are talking about Black Monday, we probably won't get it.
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