Market post solid gains last week, on light volume. Next week may be a volatile week due to two factors: The "good" job report last Friday and first week of earning reports for Q1. Let's see what happens.
- Nasdaq gained 2.1%, Dow 1.7% and S&P500 1.6% last week. All the indices again moved higher to close the Feb.27th gap. They are not all closed yet, but a complete close of the gap and a push higher, we can talk about new highs for the year and Dow.
- But if they fail, then they should retest the March 5th low at some point before we can say it's a bottom or another leg down.
- I still believe, eventually this year, the housing market will further decline to a point that the economy is in recession. But now we have strong job report to show the resilience of the economy, even though the job report is a lagging indicator.
- But short term, if earnings are good in general, we can talk about new highs.
What's next plan:
- I sold SDS , part of MZZ and QID so that I have some cash to play on the short side and long side.
- I added URZ and still think uranium is the best long term play, even though URZ is overbought, but with great momentum.
- I probably will add more URZ if there is a sharp correction, same as EMU and FRG. Other than these three, I won't add others in uranium.
- PM shares are solid, but SSRI is overbought and I'd like to see them lower before I buy.
- Will continue to cut shorts and puts if they go against me. Raise cash so I can play later.
- RIMM may push through 150. My bad decision to hold these puts. Let's see how market react to its "good" earning. It's not a bad idea to add puts after another round of shoot up after earning.
- Another area is biotech, IBB is not a bad choice. Recently, several biotech companies got FDA approval and the prices shot up like crazy, so if this is a trend, then IBB is the best and safest play.
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